Umaroth wrote:EastStroudsburg13 wrote:kdy16Dad wrote:
Yes, had to. Being competitive with a top 5 team pretty much means that the challenger also has to be at the same level. What was surprising during the season was that very few were saying that Churchill could reclaim the spot from Kennedy this year. However, Norcal states showed how close they were and how strongly they rebounded this year. It is a strange situation in California where each of the B teams is under threat of not making it to Nats - and these are top 3 (Norcal) and top 10 (Socal) teams as of now.
I think a lot of people (falsely) assumed that Churchill was not a national top-10 caliber team this year, and that Kennedy being close to them meant that Kennedy wasn't good enough to beat both Solon and Community. As we've seen, Churchill was simply a very good team.
Most people tend to underestimate California teams simply because we never really compete against any of the east coast teams. The only time before nationals that either Kennedy or we competed with teams outside of California/Hawaii was when we went to UT Invitational, and even that doesn't serve as a good benchmark because it is so early in the season. Churchill is still a strong team; as already stated, they rebounded quickly after last year's loss. Both Californias are going to look quite interesting in the coming years with their respective arms races in Division B. Perhaps we could get some better predictions if east coast teams came west for a tournament? (Shameless plug for Kraemer Invitational 2020
)
I tend to compare us beating Springhouse at every competition to Kennedy beating Kraemer at every competition - usually by a large amount, sometimes just under double Kennedy's/our points. However, the balance seems to have changed at the end - we certainly didn't fo as well as expected, and compared to Springhouse, we weren't far ahead (3rd and 7th). However, Kennedy seemed to have a really good day, halving Kraemers score easily.
So yes, I agree - we really do tend to underestimate CA teams, but usually we only underestimate NorCal teams. Socal teams tend to stay around the same place - 6th to 10th, and beyond that, a bad day or good day determines how well they do in that range.