New York 2017

User avatar
Clematis
Member
Member
Posts: 24
Joined: Sat Dec 10, 2016 2:03 pm
Division: C
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: New York 2017

Post by Clematis »

Early predictions for the Division C State Competition, anyone? It's still a while away which leaves a lot of time for improvement, but here are mine based off all of the recent invitationals and last year's results.

1. Columbia
2. Ward Melville
3. Fayetteville-Manlius
4. Mount Academy
5. Spackenkill
6. Great Neck South
7. Chaminade
8. Kellenburg
9. Niskayuna
10. John Jay
Last edited by Clematis on Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
"The most dangerous thing you could've done was give them a glimmer of hope. By letting them see that the impossible was possible, you ignited a fire within them. Now, they know that they can do it, and they won't stop until they have."
User avatar
EastStroudsburg13
Admin Emeritus
Admin Emeritus
Posts: 3201
Joined: Sat Jan 17, 2009 7:32 am
Division: Grad
State: MD
Pronouns: He/Him/His
Has thanked: 47 times
Been thanked: 204 times

Re: New York 2017

Post by EastStroudsburg13 »

I'm not sure if I would put GNS that low; they've had a very solid invitational season so far.

I'm not super well-versed with NYSO team dynamics, and I don't know what happened at the F-M and Columbia invites, but I'll give a wild prediction a shot:

1. Columbia
2. Ward Melville
3. Great Neck South
4. Fayetteville-Manlius
5. Mount Academy
6. Chaminade
7. Syosset
8. Kellenberg
9. Spackenkill
10. Niskayuna

With honorable mentions to John Jay, Half Hollow Hills East, and Townsend Harris
East Stroudsburg South Class of 2012, Alumnus of JT Lambert, Drexel University Class of 2017

Helpful Links
Wiki
Wiki Pages that Need Work
FAQ and SciOly FAQ Wiki
Chat (See IRC Wiki for more info)
BBCode Wiki


So long, and thanks for all the Future Dictator titles!
User avatar
Clematis
Member
Member
Posts: 24
Joined: Sat Dec 10, 2016 2:03 pm
Division: C
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: New York 2017

Post by Clematis »

EastStroudsburg13 wrote:I'm not sure if I would put GNS that low; they've had a very solid invitational season so far.

I'm not super well-versed with NYSO team dynamics, and I don't know what happened at the F-M and Columbia invites, but I'll give a wild prediction a shot:
Really? I was trying to find some other NY invitationals with scores besides Cornell and Islip to help figure out where to place GNS but eventually gave up because I couldn't find results, as with F-M and Columbia like you mentioned. I guess they keep the results private? Maybe I should've expanded my research to invitationals in neighboring states because I could only find one invitational with GNS competing with results. Based on that, I assumed they've gone to fewer invitationals, and as a result would have less competition experience for this season. But if they've gone to more that I can't find, then putting them ahead of Mount Academy seems reasonable. I don't think I'll go as far as to put them ahead of F-M though.

Last year was the first time in 15 years that F-M didn't go to nationals, so I would think that they would work extra hard this year to try to regain their spot? Based off of MIT results, though, it seems like Columbia and Ward Melville are working harder. I don't think GNS will be able to surpass F-M in scores unless they already have at an invitational. But who knows? That's the fun with predictions.
"The most dangerous thing you could've done was give them a glimmer of hope. By letting them see that the impossible was possible, you ignited a fire within them. Now, they know that they can do it, and they won't stop until they have."
User avatar
EastStroudsburg13
Admin Emeritus
Admin Emeritus
Posts: 3201
Joined: Sat Jan 17, 2009 7:32 am
Division: Grad
State: MD
Pronouns: He/Him/His
Has thanked: 47 times
Been thanked: 204 times

Re: New York 2017

Post by EastStroudsburg13 »

Clematis wrote:
EastStroudsburg13 wrote:I'm not sure if I would put GNS that low; they've had a very solid invitational season so far.

I'm not super well-versed with NYSO team dynamics, and I don't know what happened at the F-M and Columbia invites, but I'll give a wild prediction a shot:
Really? I was trying to find some other NY invitationals with scores besides Cornell and Islip to help figure out where to place GNS but eventually gave up because I couldn't find results, as with F-M and Columbia like you mentioned. I guess they keep the results private? Maybe I should've expanded my research to invitationals in neighboring states because I could only find one invitational with GNS competing with results. Based on that, I assumed they've gone to fewer invitationals, and as a result would have less competition experience for this season. But if they've gone to more that I can't find, then putting them ahead of Mount Academy seems reasonable. I don't think I'll go as far as to put them ahead of F-M though.

Last year was the first time in 15 years that F-M didn't go to nationals, so I would think that they would work extra hard this year to try to regain their spot? Based off of MIT results, though, it seems like Columbia and Ward Melville are working harder. I don't think GNS will be able to surpass F-M in scores unless they already have at an invitational. But who knows? That's the fun with predictions.
Yeah, it's difficult to tell with FM. I wasn't impressed with their result at MIT, but it could be that they used mainly underclassmen at that invitational. It definitely appears that Columbia and WM are the favorites, but GNS was impressive at Islip and Stoga. I'm not sure if they're going to others this year (perhaps Tiger?), but I think they've shown enough to stay above Mount Academy in predictions at the very least.
East Stroudsburg South Class of 2012, Alumnus of JT Lambert, Drexel University Class of 2017

Helpful Links
Wiki
Wiki Pages that Need Work
FAQ and SciOly FAQ Wiki
Chat (See IRC Wiki for more info)
BBCode Wiki


So long, and thanks for all the Future Dictator titles!
fanjiatian
Member
Member
Posts: 244
Joined: Tue Mar 16, 2010 6:46 pm
Division: Grad
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 2 times

Re: New York 2017

Post by fanjiatian »

GNS was at Yale
Piggy
Member
Member
Posts: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 04, 2015 11:43 am
Division: C
State: NY
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: New York 2017

Post by Piggy »

fanjiatian wrote:GNS was at Yale
GNS was not at Yale. GNS only went to Islip and Conestoga/Battle at Valley Forge this year.
oscillatic
Member
Member
Posts: 5
Joined: Fri Jan 27, 2017 3:28 pm
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: New York 2017

Post by oscillatic »

"Yeah, it's difficult to tell with FM. I wasn't impressed with their result at MIT, but it could be that they used mainly underclassmen at that invitational. "

I don't know how many team members went but I would guess the entire team or at least nearly everyone. F-M has only one team from the start of the season to the finish, the team stays the same-15 students. They don't swap around members from a larger pool like some teams do. The team is the team. There is an F-M B team but the members of that team don't switch with the A Team at all. The B team consists of excellent students who, for various reasons, were not placed on the A team this year but will likely comprise the A team for the next academic year. But the same students who compete on the very first invitational remain through the last competition. What about your team? Do they switch around members? Do students swap out depending upon how well they do in an event?
User avatar
EastStroudsburg13
Admin Emeritus
Admin Emeritus
Posts: 3201
Joined: Sat Jan 17, 2009 7:32 am
Division: Grad
State: MD
Pronouns: He/Him/His
Has thanked: 47 times
Been thanked: 204 times

Re: New York 2017

Post by EastStroudsburg13 »

My team didn't have enough people to switch around members. ;)

However, there are lots of stories of other teams that use teams of different compositions at different tournaments to get different people experience. Harriton, for one, sometimes does this, and I'm sure other teams do it.
East Stroudsburg South Class of 2012, Alumnus of JT Lambert, Drexel University Class of 2017

Helpful Links
Wiki
Wiki Pages that Need Work
FAQ and SciOly FAQ Wiki
Chat (See IRC Wiki for more info)
BBCode Wiki


So long, and thanks for all the Future Dictator titles!
Flavorflav
Member
Member
Posts: 1388
Joined: Sun Feb 05, 2006 7:06 am
Division: Grad
State: NY
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: New York 2017

Post by Flavorflav »

CNYSciOlyGuy
Member
Member
Posts: 3
Joined: Sun Jan 29, 2017 4:25 pm
Division: C
State: NY
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: New York 2017

Post by CNYSciOlyGuy »

2017:
MIT/Mentor/UPenn/Regionals/States/Nats?
MatSci: 11/1/18/1/-/-
Remote: 18/3/7/1/-/-
Towers: 34 (don't break it the night before competition)/7/3/2/-/-
Fermi: 4/-/-/1/-/-

Return to “2017 Invitationals, Regionals, and States”