Prediction Contest 2022

[jaguarhunter]

Prediction Contest is now open at scioly.org/nationals! Predict which teams you think will win each event and overall, but cast your votes carefully as you can only list each team a certain number of times! Submissions will be accepted until Friday, May 13, 2022, at 11:59 PM PDT.

The forms for individual contests are processed individually so rather than filling out all four at once, complete and submit each separately. The forms also try to check that you're following rules; e.g. if you list any team more than three times in event predictions, it'll try to prevent you from submitting. However, as the checker sometimes glitches, please also manually verify your responses before submitting so that they may be considered.

Disclaimer: The Prediction Contest is run by Scioly.org and is not affiliated with Science Olympiad or the 2022 National Tournament. This event is for entertainment purposes only and there are no material prizes.

[SarcasmQueen]

This is hard!

[drcubbin]

No predictions?

[Fyren]

No predictions?

The prediction form is at scioly.org/fantasy. A summary of predictions will be posted when results to the contest are posted.

[kman1234t]

Prediction Contest results as well as a summary of submissions have been posted to scioly.org/fantasy. Congrats to our top predictors!

Division B - Events Contest: jaguarhunter
Division B - Top Teams Contest: Banana2020
Division C - Events Contest: legendaryalchemist
Division C - Top Teams Contest: aakoala

[jaymaron]

Love the idea of a betting pool.

This a late hit. Monday morning quarterback. Backseat driver. I made this plot long after 2022 nationals. It shows the results from 2022 invitationals, and rates each team according to the results. It's intended to be a predictor of success at nationals. The plot also shows nationals results, and nationals results are in line with invitationals results. The point is to make a plot where you can take in the entire season at a glance.

Expanded discussion of the ratings algorithm at https://jaymaron.com/scioly.html
To construct a legit ratings algorithm, you must rate both teams and invitationals.

Ratings algorithms are a rich topic, and the sports world cares.

Marquette's glorious breakthrough to nationals glory didn't come from nowhere. They were formidable at invitationals. My ratings has them at #4 going into nationals.